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Entrepreneurship & risk management
Learn from cutting-edge biology how to manage risk as an entrepreneur or an investor by raising adaptive capacity of your start-up or scale up in this specially tailored workshop. Guided by our expert facilitators, learn how to pivot as part of a plan using maths and science. Learn how to discover hidden innovation and market potential in your existing business idea or product with the concept of innovation ciphers. Learn how to use game theory applied from cutting-edge biolo

Adam Timlett
3 days ago1 min read


Innovation Ciphers & the ‘adjacent possible’
To cite, please use timestamped PDF by Adam Timlett Note: What follows is a technical overview of the 'innovation cipher' concept to demonstrate the background research and science it is based on. This article is not the material used to guide participants in our workshops. The way to leverage this concept effectively is by a guided workshop led by our expert facilitators and educators which will make the process tailored to your product's innovation potential, and, most impo

Adam Timlett
May 1411 min read


The Productive Pigeonhole Principle: An Answer to Searle’s Chinese Room
PDF with timestamp certificate for download and citation. Introduction Searle’s Chinese Room is a thought experiment which is supposed to prime our intuition against the possibility that the brain is simply some type of computer. It has a long history. First published in 1980, it came to my awareness only in the 1990s, when it was then mainly being discussed in the context of progress in things like early neural networks and whether such ‘sub-symbolic’ architectures made Sear

Adam Timlett
Dec 26, 202538 min read


Options beyond Growth and Failure
Timestamped PDF for download and citation In The 2nd Invisible Hand I argued that Nature may be exploiting other options around growth to control problems such as pollution and exhaustion of resources from over-exploitation. One interesting example of this may be the courtship of flamingos, whose complexity I argue is a cryptographic effect for the flamingos themselves, to navigate a complex process that limits the ability of flamingos to efficiently reproduce, so protecting

Adam Timlett
Dec 1, 202525 min read


The 2nd Invisible Hand. Learning from Nature & the incompleteness of economics
Timestamped PDF for Download and Citation I have spent some considerable time working on specifically how we can learn from cutting-edge biology to create a real, more complete science for how to better manage risk and develop our economic theory to actually face the challenges we have today. People have argued from a non-economics background that energy use ‘simply’ needs to be integrated properly into economic allocation decisions, but how to do this is left unsaid. Looking

Adam Timlett
Nov 5, 202510 min read


What if the simplest games to capture cooperation problems always involve 3 players?
The title image looks at a three way game involving the idea of triadic closure. This is a theory from graphs that demonstrates the idea that interesting interactions can be 3-way not simply 2-way. In standard teaching of game theory we model the simplest possible games of cooperation as games in which there are only two players. While we do talk about one player games, these types of games are those in which one player makes all decisions, and so there is no conception that

Adam Timlett
Nov 3, 20258 min read


Video of On the Origin of Risk talk to DMDU
It was my pleasure to give a talk about how, in Nature, organisms cope with deep uncertainty as part of their management of their own...

Adam Timlett
Jun 1, 20251 min read


On the Origin of Risk published
'On the Origin of Risk' is available on all formats! On the Origin of Risk presents a new way of understanding the deep biases we have in...

Adam Timlett
Feb 3, 20251 min read
On the Origin of Risk Book Launch Event
I'm excited to announce that PPL will be hosting the book launch of 'On the Origin of Risk' on the evening of 29th Jan. This will be...

Adam Timlett
Dec 20, 20241 min read


Data Quality Management Using Game Theory & Organisation Games
These slides are part of a presentation on utilising game theory and ‘organisation games’, an extension of game theory developed to study...

Adam Timlett
Dec 15, 20235 min read


Talk on an application of 'Agentless Agency' to the challenge of discovery & innovation
It was a real pleasure to give this short talk at the inaugural MDENet Symposium. I spoke about how 'agentless agency' as a concept can...

Adam Timlett
Feb 5, 20221 min read


Natural Search, Evolution & Economics
Here's a monograph I've written about the concept of natural search, explained in the everyday terms of economics examples, but also with...

Adam Timlett
Oct 24, 20211 min read


Understanding 'Natural Search' via clocks & watches
In Nature some things were discovered once and are now utilised in that same form universally, across all of life. An example is ATP the...

Adam Timlett
Sep 18, 20219 min read


Incentivising Sustainable Complexity in Nature and in Macroeconomics
Image Credit: James Robert White Executive Summary The idea of a ‘sustainable complexity floor’ and a ‘sustainable complexity ceiling’ is...

Adam Timlett
Feb 22, 20218 min read
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